Today’s Chart of the Day from Creativeplanning.com with data from NYE.edu shows the rolling 10-year return of the market going back 85 years. The stock market is represented by the S&P 500 in blue and the 10-Year Treasury bond is in green.
Over 94% of the time, the 10-year return of the stock market was positive. Two periods were the exception, the first being the recession in the mid-70s and the second being the Great Recession in the 2000s. It also shows the vast majority of returns for the stock market are higher than the 10-Year Treasury.