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Chart of the Day: Markets in Election Years

Chart showing election years from 1930 to present, listed by loss or gains by 10% ranges. Red years indicate losses, grey neutral and green gains.

Contents

Today’s Chart of the Day was provided by Angie Parsons, a Portfolio Manager at Crews Bank & Trust, after attending a presentation by Brian Levitt with Invesco called, “Is the Second Half of Elections Bad for the Markets?”

Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but the stock market represented by the S&P 500 has been positive (shown in green) for 18 of the 21 election years going back to 1930. Additional information in the presentation also proved “No” to the second half question, with the market posting a median gain of 5.5%.

Side note: The only three negative years - 1932, 2000, and 2008 - occurred during recessions. 

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