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Chart of the Day: Return Distributions

Three bar charts illustrating the highs and lows of stock, bonds and a combination of 60% stocks and 40% bonds, with 2024 highlighted in green, the prior years from 2021-2023 in gold and the remaining years in gray.

Contents

Today’s Chart of the Day from Vanguard shows the distribution of returns from 1928 to 2024, for stocks, bonds, and a combined 60% stock/40% bond portfolio. It also shows where we have ended up in the last four years. 

Two interesting things to note:  

First: The spread of stocks is significantly wider and flatter from a 40% loss to a 40%+ gain, while bonds (except for a few outliers) are more concentrated in the -2% to 10% range. And when combining the two, as expected, there is a little less of both returns and losses. 

Second: Though it feels like we have had an odd few years, except for 2022, they were within a normal range.